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Old 21-10-2014, 09:10 AM
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Thumbs up Exec chairman of banyan tree holdings: Pap may lose dominance in 15 years

An honorable member of the Coffee Shop Has Just Posted the Following:

EXEC CHAIRMAN OF BANYAN TREE HOLDINGS: PAP MAY LOSE DOMINANCE IN 15 YEARS

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20 Oct 2014 - 9:41pm








Mr Ho Kwon Ping, the Executive Chairman of Banyan Tree Holdings and a fellow at SR Nathan explained that he believes the PAP may lose dominance in Parliament in only in 15 years and they will probably lose power only after at least another 25 years.

He was speaking at an IPS-Nathan Lecture on the NUS Cultural Centre today when he laid out these possible scenarios.

Mr Ho explained that historical trends would indicate that the PAP will lose an election only in the second half of the next 50 years.

He was referring to “historical trends” such as the Mexico Institutional Party losing power after 71 years and India’s Indian National Congress losing power after 49 years. Citing these examples, he said that PAP may lose power in half to three quarters of a century.

Mr Ho said that the PAP will likely only lose power is there is a freak election result, a fundamental split in the PAP or a massive loss in legitimacy. However, he highlighted that the third scenario was probably very unlikely.







It is strange that Mr Ho believes the PAP will only lose dominance in 15 years. After the massive loss of votes in the last general election until the PAP only holds 60.1% of the popular vote, what makes him think that the PAP can keep its dominance in Parliament for at least another 3 elections?

In fact, the PAP seems to be getting more desperate to silence critics and keep dissenting views out of the public sphere as evident from the recent banning of political films and the investigation into several activists who wanted to speak out.

It seems Mr Ho is looking only at past examples from other countries and is not in tune at all with the sentiments of the voters in Singapore.
How much longer do you think the PAP can hold onto power?


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